• Gold: 1,242.74 -7.44
  • Silver: 16.71 -0.11
  • Euro: 1.139 0.001
  • USDX: 95.917 0.078
  • Oil: 45.33 0.44

Silver Market Morning: May 22 2017 - Gold...

Today’s gold price is all about a weaker dollar. But the dollar is barely changed against the Chinese Yuan. The dollar took a hammering over the weekend falling to lows on the index that we have not seen for a long time. If the dollar continues to fall, as we expect, the dollar gold price will look strong. Technically, we see higher gold prices, but are keeping our eyes on overhead resistance to see if we can expect a breakout.

Silver Market Morning: May 19 2017 - Gold...

When we look back at the actions of Modi and his government in India and on gold, since he came to power, we see that Indian governments are still unhappy with gold in the country and will always be. This is not a small problem for that government, when you consider that the total gold holdings of the world’s central banks is around 34,000 tonnes, private citizens and institutions in India hold around 24,000 tonnes, an amount that is rising by around 1,000 tonnes a year.

Silver: Train Leaving Station Soon!

Silver prices are rising along the bottom of a 20 year log scale trend channel (shown later). There are no guarantees in a manipulated paper market, such as COMEX silver, but it is possible that silver prices will collapse further, or more likely, move substantially higher, sooner rather than later. Silver prices COULD fall from their current level of $16 – $17 to under $10.

Bill Murphy: Silver – The Only Commodity 66%...

I ask how could a commodity or any product that is bought and sold on planet earth be 66% cheaper than in 1980. The evidence above demonstrates how that is possible. The only remaining question is – why is silver the kryptonite to the banking and financial system? Gold, while the market has been proven to be rigged as well, has at least been able to climb higher than in 1980. The current global “price” of gold does not reflect it’s true value, however, it is still higher than 37 years ago. Silver, not so much.

Silver Market Morning: May 18 2017 - Gold going...

On the evidence above, New York hit gold’s peak price in the day, first, then Shanghai rose to meet it and London opened at the same level. In an extraordinary picture ALL THREE GLOBAL GOLD MARKETS ARE AT THE SAME PRICE. This is the first time we have ever seen this happen. While we used the dollar as the measuring currency, we note that the gold price is the same in all markets, so currencies, today are not the influence.

Silver Market Morning: May 17 2017 - Gold going...

We have to see just how far this is a war between the media and Trump and just how far it is a real crisis. If it is Trump, the dollar will recover once his crisis is resolved, whenever that is. If it is the dollar itself, gold will benefit over a much longer period as the dollar faces a more fundamental crisis. This fundamental crisis can always be linked to the rise of the Yuan or the falling oil prices or more fundamental crises. If the current weakness of the dollar is due to a structural change in the dollar’s global role weakening [dollar hegemony giving way?], then the changes we have expected for a very long time in the currency and monetary worlds has begun!

Canary In The Silver Mine

Silver bugs may have been disappointed by the recent decline but this is a key accumulation area for investors who want to be part of the next big rally in a profitable way. Many analysts are frustrated with the performance of silver relative to gold. Those days of frustration will end as money velocity stages a dramatic reversal to the upside, but not before that happens.

How Silver Could Rally Significantly Over The...

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way. In the long run, the two move in opposite directions. When the USD/ZAR rate is moving up, the silver price is moving down, and vice versa. Furthermore, when the USD/ZAR rate is making a top, then a bottom in silver is normally very close (before or after the USD/ZAR peak).

Silver Market Morning: May 15 2017 - Gold still...

The Technical picture is positive today so the gold price should rise steadily today, barring new news that halts its rise. But the main influence on today’s prices comes from Shanghai. While the discount of New York and London have been widening of late it is the lifting of today’s prices in Shanghai that has caused prices in London and New York to suddenly rise. We expect the upward pressure from Asia to continue as the dollar weakness drops prices in India.

A Bumper Under that Silver Elevator

We are not mining experts, but we will address (2) by saying that mining shares only go up if the input costs don’t go up as much as the price of gold. And if the company keeps efficiency up, and costs down. And if local tax authorities don’t get greedy. And if mine labor unions don’t get violent, environmental regulators don’t make expensive demands, etc. And if the company finds new ore bodies at the same rate it depletes them.