• Gold: 1,257.27 0.00
  • Silver: 17.16 -0.03
  • Euro: 1.122 0.001
  • USDX: 97.238 -0.113
  • Oil: 51.24 -0.23

Silver Market Morning: Mar 22 2017 - Gold holding...

The gold price in Shanghai jumped 2.50 Yuan today, but the rise was greater when translated into the weak dollar. As you can see, London and New York are trying to catch up with Shanghai as the price differentials narrow. That’s why the concept of a ‘Chinese gold price premium’ distorts the reality of what’s happening. China is no longer a distant sub-market of London, while India continues to be so, as that country with its gold taxes and political interference cannot function nearly as well as Shanghai with its highly developed, huge, physical market.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 21 2017 - Gold still...

Turning back to the G-20 statement we note that the G-20 maintained its call for competitive devaluations and FX market instability to be avoided. While it goes against brazen devaluations for the sake of gaining competitive advantage, protectionism will alter trade balances, which will affect exchange rates. Behind such international plays, nations do attempt to keep their exchange rates low and lower. So while brazen currency wars are to be avoided, they will continue indirectly.

Silver 1/70th The Price of Gold – Silver Eagles...

– Silver just 1/70th the price of gold – Silver at $17.50 per ounce set to rise “faster than gold” – Silver Eagles (1 oz) buying jumps to 715,000 this week – “Supply may drop following mine closures” – Standard Chartered – Industrial demand “will remain strong” – CPM Group – Silver is substantially undervalued versus gold – Gold silver ratio to fall back below 30

Silver Market Morning: Mar 20 2017 - Gold...

The price differential between the three centers is widening again as China once again is leading the way on gold prices. But you will note that Chinese gold prices have barely changed in the last two days leading to the conclusion that Shanghai is making the gold price but exchange rate changes are changing prices in other currencies. The dollar continues to weaken taking gold prices higher there.

Market Report: Turning the corner

Silver is getting left behind as our introductory chart shows, with it up only 8.7% this year so far, while gold is up 6.5%. Normally, silver moves on average slightly less than twice that of gold, suggesting the right price for silver should be about $17.80. Silver’s slight loss in performance is shown in the gold/silver ratio, which is our next chart.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 17 2017 - Gold jumping...

At the close in Shanghai today, the gold price was trading at 275.90 Yuan, which directly translates into $1,242.46. But allowing for the difference of gold being traded this equates to a price of $1,237.46. This more than $11.16 higher than the New York close and $10.46 higher than London. As you can see the price differentials between the three centers has been narrowing considerably. With today being a day when the gold markets are taking a breather after the rise we expect the differentials to continue to narrow as Shanghai pulls gold prices higher across the world.

Is Silver a Better Value than Gold Right Now?

Earlier this month, I wrote that we would have a window of a few more days to weeks in order to get on board with gold and silver mining stocks at a good price for the first half of this year. I also have written extensively this year about the necessity of using hedges during raids on gold and silver combined with temporary moves to cash to balance out any downside exposure during these raids, and mentioned that again we had applied some hedges against paper gold and paper silver during this last raid. We unwound one hedge last Friday, and we unwound the others earlier this week.

Silver Market Morning: March-16-2017 -- Silver...

As we said yesterday, “One of the dangers of getting carried away by the early days of a new President is that markets can run too far and ahead of the realities facing that President. This may well prove to be the case with the sell-off in gold of late.....” The Fed has not joined in that exuberance, instead of just raising interest rates by 0.25% but making dovish statements that while a total on 3 rate hikes can be expected, the Fed will maintain its accommodative stance. This disappointed many markets sending equity markets higher [because the fear of much higher rates in the future has dissipated] and the dollar lower against all currencies. Gold benefitted and traded higher, but the digestion of the Fed’s speech leaves more gold price rises to come.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 15 2017 - Gold still...

At the close in Shanghai today, the gold price was trading at 272.50 Yuan, which directly translates into $1,226.16. But allowing for the difference of gold being traded this equates to a price of $1,221.16. This more than $22.46 higher than the New York close and $19.16 higher than London.

Why Did Silver Fall

The question on the lips of everyone who plans to exchange his metal for dollars—widely thought to be money—is why did silver go down? The price of silver in dollar terms dropped from about 18 bucks to about 17, or about 5 percent.