• Gold: 1,425.69 -20.22
  • Silver: 16.18 -0.15
  • Euro: 1.122 -0.005
  • USDX: 97.115 0.321
  • Oil: 55.41 -0.42

Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on Its Horse

3 hours 27 min ago

While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd. The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners (+/-) each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.

January 4: Gold Gains and Silver Rises 2% on the Week

Gold edged up to $1298.40 in Asia before it fell back to $1277.30 by midmorning in New York and then bounced back higher into midday, but it still ended with a loss of 0.75%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.585 and ended with a loss of 0.32%.

Surest Way to Overthrow Capitalism

As the price of silver rose over 2% this week, the cobasis basically held steady. There is some buying of metal here, and some speculation too. This is not exactly the picture of a feeding frenzy, with an outlook of silver-to-da-moon. But nor is it a sign of a speculative blip, with a prognosis of a crash. The Monetary Metals Silver Fundamental Price rose 12 cents, to $15.91. This week, of course, the stock market went up. Does the incredible bull market roar back to life? We are not stock market prognosticators, but we don’t think so if the Fed stays the course. As we’ve written, the discount on future earnings is higher now and therefore the present value is lower. Also, the interest expense is up and this will crush the marginal debtors.

What’s the best speculative asset for 2019: silver or Bitcoin?

Silver is a somewhat comparable speculative alternative to Bitcoin. It has been used as money since the dawn of civilisation, albeit as monetary metal not computer code. In recent years silver has become more of a speculative asset than a currency, although it is also a very useful industrial metal. It’s vital for smartphones and other electronic products.

January 15: Gold and Silver End Slightly Lower in Mixed Trade

Gold dipped $4 to $1287.60 at about 5AM EST before it rose to as high as $1294.70 by midmorning in New York and then fell to a new session low of $1286.90 by early afternoon, but it then rallied back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.19%. Silver chopped between $15.542 and $15.694 and ended with a loss of 0.38%.

January 16: Gold and Silver Rise with Stocks

Gold edged up to $1292.70 in Asia before it pared back to $1288.00 in London, but it then climbed to a new 6-month high at $1294.90 in New York and ended with a gain of 0.32%. Silver chopped between $15.494 and $15.642 and ended with a gain of 0.13%.

January 17: Gold and Silver Edge Lower While Stocks Rise on Trade Talk

Gold chopped between $1291.40 and $1295.00 in Asia before it dipped to $1288.90 by midmorning in New York, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.12%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.457 and ended with a loss of 0.38%.

January 18: Gold and Silver Fall Almost 1% and 2% on the Week

Gold fell $10.50 to $1281.30 at about 8:30AM EST before it chopped back higher in morning New York trade, but it then fell back off gain in late trade and ended with a loss of 0.86%. Silver slipped to as low as $15.327 and ended with a loss of 1.29%.

Arizona Legislator Proposes Securing State Reserves with Gold and Silver

An Arizona legislator has put forward a bill to de-risk the state’s financial holdings with a modest allocation to physical gold and silver in the state’s reserve fund. Introduced by Representative Mark Finchem (R-Tucson), the Arizona Sound Money Stabilization Act (HB 2500) requires that at least 10% of Arizona’s Budget Stabilization Fund be held in the monetary metals in a secure depository.

Silver Market Trends - 2019 (The Silver Institute)

(Washington D.C. – February 5, 2019) Last year, the silver market faced a challenging environment which was reflected in a muted price performance. Preliminary estimates point towards a minor 0.3 percent increase in total supply whereas demand contracted 3 percent. A slowing Chinese economy, coupled with rising U.S. interest rates, an equity market bull run, and global trade tensions, affected the price performance across many markets, including gold and silver. This year, we expect the sentiment to be more supportive for the silver market. The start of 2019 has already proven to be good for silver investors. The U.S. Mint for example, sold 12 percent more American Eagles in January compared to January 2018. In addition, the expected slowdown in the U.S. FED rate hiking cycle should also benefit silver, which in comparison to gold, has a very attractive price point based on the high gold:silver ratio at around 82. Against this backdrop, the Silver Institute provides the following insights on 2019 silver market trends.

New Pacific Reports High Recovery of Silver Achieved for Sulphides and Transitional Mineralized Materials from Silver Sand, Bolivia

VANCOUVER, British Columbia – February 7, 2019 – New Pacific Metals Corp. (TSX-V:NUAG) (OTCQX:NUPMF) (the “Company”) is pleased to announce the preliminary results of the first metallurgical test work for its Silver Sand project in Potosi, Bolivia. Metallurgical sampling and test work commenced in September 2018 – the flotation recovery and bottle roll leaching test works for the transition and sulphide mineralized materials have been completed and test work on the oxides is under way. All tests, including column leaching test works, are expected to be completed by the end of April 2019. Positive recovery results have been achieved in the extraction of silver by the processes of flotation and direct cyanidation from the initial metallurgical test work.

Assay Results 'Give a Sense of the Tremendous Scope' of Bolivia Project

We are barely into the third month of the year, but New Pacific Metals Corp. (NUAG:TSX.V; NUPMF:OTCQX) has been moving nonstop, announcing major land expansion news and off-the-charts drill results. In January, the company announced a major land expansion of its Silver Sand project in Bolivia though an agreement with Corporación Minera de Bolivia (COMIBOL) granting New Pacific the right to carry out exploration, mining and production on lands adjoining Silver Sand. The Mining Production Contract (MPC) is for a total of 56.9 square kilometers, a many-fold increase from the original 3 square kilometer Silver Sand land package.

Kootenay Reports Positive Metallurgical Results from Cervantes Gold Project, Sonora, Mexico - under Option to Aztec Minerals

The Cervantes Property is held under an earn-in option to agreement whereby Aztec Minerals can acquire up to 100% interest in the property in two stages, with Kootenay retaining a 2.5 % NSR and receiving a payment of US$5.00 per ounce or gold equivalent based on a NI 43-101 Resource Estimate. See Kootenay news release dated October 13, 2015.

Precious Metals Update Video: Gold-Silver ratio is starting to favor silver

Precious Metals Update Video: Gold is not overbought. Silver - lower lows, lower highs.

Precious Metals Update Video: Silver has not yet turned that corner..

Silver has not yet turned that corner (video technical update)

Precious Metals Update Video: Silver hits lower bollinger band support

Precious Metals Update Video: Silver hits lower bollinger band support, important support area and oversold.

Precious Metals Update Video: Silver oversold, trend is down

Silver oversold, trend is down.

Get on the Ira Silver Train

For more modest IRAs you may want to consider Gold Star Trust. Simply set up an account on line and then roll over some or all of your funds into the new account. Gold Start Trust was formerly American Church Trust and specialized in Church bonds. I have been associated with them for almost 20 years. After you account is funded simply call your favorite precious metals dealer (yours truly for one) and you can purchase precious metals for your IRA. The metals have to be held in a 3rd party depository which is where Gold Star Trust comes into play. Your metals dealer ships the precious metals to Gold Star and they pay directly from your IRA account. There are a few restrictions on allowed metals but most popular forms of precious metals are allowed in the IRA. Storage costs are reasonable.

World’s Largest Primary Silver Miner Production Plunges

Silver production at the world’s largest producer fell significantly in the first quarter of the year. Fresnillo PLC reported a decrease in silver production in Q1 2019 versus the same period last year, due to lower ore grades and reduced volumes of processed ore at its Fresnillo Mine. Furthermore, while silver production fell the most at its Fresnillo Mine, the company also experienced declines at its Saucito and San Julian Mines. Total silver production at Fresnillo PLC dropped by 15% in the first quarter compared to the same quarter in 2018.

New Pacific Reports First Results from 2019 Drill Program at Silver Sand, Bolivia – Continuing intersecting wide silver mineralization near surface including 169 g/t silver over 144.2m

The 2019 drilling program at Silver Sand commenced in late April and is expected continue throughout rest of the year. These first eight holes were part of the infill drilling program to bring drill hole density to approximately 25 metre by 25 metre spacing and to produce a mineral resource estimate in accordance with NI 43-101 at the end of 2019. These holes were approximately oriented at azimuths of 60 degrees and dips of -45 degrees. These first eight infill holes have intercepted significant silver mineralization similar to those reported from the 2018 drilling program, and adequately confirms the continuity of mineralization within the drilled extents.

Silver Seems To Shock The Market

Well, as I think about it, I am starting to understand the shock if you had been reading what everyone has been writing about silver. Whereas the rest of the complex has already moved strongly higher, silver has been significantly lagging. And, I have been hearing one excuse after another as to why it is lagging, such as silver “has been acting as an industrial metal.”. But, last I looked, the economy was humming along. So, why would an industrial metal be lagging? Moreover, it certainly did not act like an industrial metal on Tuesday.

Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on Its Horse

While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd. The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners (+/-) each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.

GoldSeek Radio Nugget: David Morgan - "We will see some kind of a rally this summer in metals"

The world's appetite for US' debt has peaked a few years ago. It is De-Dollarization..

Silver – Eight Years Later

Eight years ago, silver reached $48 per ounce. COMEX changed the margin requirements, and others dumped thousands of paper contracts on the COMEX market to smash prices lower. They succeeded, as usual. Old news! As they say, “Wash, rinse and repeat.” Gold and silver prices fell hard since their 2011 highs, while central banks levitated the S&P 500 Index, most stocks, and bonds with massive infusions of cheap debt. Central banks also purchased stocks and bonds. Inexpensive debt, QE, and bond monetization were good for the DOW and S&P 500 stocks. Central banks are reluctant to change policies, but the world may have arrived at another “Peak Debt” moment similar to 2008. What are prospects for silver and gold in the next several years? What data backs up the prognosis?

When (Not If) Silver Has a "Bitcoin Moment"

So, don't sit around with "not enough" – or not any – physical silver (and gold) until a "bitcoin moment" in the metals takes place. If you hesitate long enough, you just might find yourself benched during the entire "last 10% (and majority profit potential) of an explosive finale. But by all means, avoid contracting a terminal case of FOMO (fear of missing out), which causes you to buy the top!

Bolivian gov’t seeks a new deal with miners, says Minister Navarro

Although the state has ownership of the resource, it grants the company a lengthy concession period during which it can explore, build and operate a mine. In exchange, the company promises to undertake certain investments in stages throughout the project’s life, including rehabilitating the site when the mine closes. Once signed with Comibol, the contract is sent to Congress, where it would be approved as a law and finally promulgated by the president himself, giving the contract considerable legal weight. In January, Navarro signed the first such deal for an exploration project with Vancouver-based New Pacific Metals (TSXV: NUAG; US-OTC: NUPMF). The 45-year contract is due to receive legislative approval by mid-year.

Rocket Fuel

According to silver analyst Theodore Butler, various hedge funds are currently short 440 million ounces of silver on the COMEX futures market. That’s over half the silver that’s mined in a year. These funds manage money for big investors and they rely on computerized trading programs. Human judgements and emotions don’t enter into trading decisions. Their foremost trading strategy is to buy or sell when moving averages are penetrated. If the price of silver or gold moves upward to the point it goes through the average of prices over the past 50 days, it causes some short selling programs to buy and close out their short position. A penetration of the more important 200 day moving average sparks major buying and can lift the price significantly.

New Pacific Reports First Results from 2019 Drill Program at Silver Sand, Bolivia – Continuing intersecting wide silver mineralization near surface including 169 g/t silver over 144.2m

The 2019 drilling program at Silver Sand commenced in late April and is expected continue throughout rest of the year. These first eight holes were part of the infill drilling program to bring drill hole density to approximately 25 metre by 25 metre spacing and to produce a mineral resource estimate in accordance with NI 43-101 at the end of 2019. These holes were approximately oriented at azimuths of 60 degrees and dips of -45 degrees. These first eight infill holes have intercepted significant silver mineralization similar to those reported from the 2018 drilling program, and adequately confirms the continuity of mineralization within the drilled extents.

Kootenay Reports Columba Access Road and Surface Access Agreement Completed

Since acquiring Columba, the Company has undertaken a mapping and surface sampling program with silver grades of up to 693 gpt sampled on surface. This area includes a network of underground workings comprised of 4 shafts and 6 levels of drifts reported to measure over 1,000 meters in length. Historic* mine records indicate grades from these underground workings to range from 600 to 900 gpt silver with highlights of 1,900 gpt silver over 4 meters and 679 gpt silver along 133 meters of vein strike and 1.3 meters of vein width. (Click on this link to view a video that illustrates the historic underground mining data).

The Rise of Silver and Major Economic Decline

Currently silver priced in the Dow is close to all-time lows. Economic conditions has been favourable to paper and debt-based assets. The bullish wedge is an indication that all this is about to change. There has now been a breakout of the wedge and the ratio seems ready to go much higher. On the chart, I have indicated how the periods indicated by the green arrows have been associated with economic prosperity, and the red one with economic decline...

These Two Charts Virtually Scream “Buy Silver”

Silver is currently trading around $14.84 an ounce. This is around 30% of its 1980 all-time high of $50. However, this is an incomplete representation of what silver is really trading at, relative to US dollars. When you look at the silver price, relative to US currency (the amount of actual US dollars) in existence, then it is at its lowest value it has ever been (see chart below). Also, it is ridiculous that one ounce of silver cost $50 in 1980 when there were about 132 billion dollars in existence, whereas today it is only $14.84 at a time when there are 3 304 billion dollars in existence (note that I have used rounded numbers which created some distortion).

Will Silver Soon Follow Gold’s Lead?

The super-rich and large institutional investors who are more apt to take contrarian positions in overlooked assets generally prefer gold over silver because it is more convenient for them to accumulate in large quantities. We are still in the stealth phase of a precious metals bull market. When we enter the public participation phase – and demand for physical bullion increases – we have no doubt that silver will shine.

If History Still Matters, Silver Is Poised For A Huge Move

It’s been a pretty good couple of months for precious metals, but more so for gold than silver. Both are up but gold is up more, and the imbalance that this creates might be one of the major investment themes of the next few years. The gold/silver ratio – that is, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy an ounce of gold – has bounced all over the place since the 1960s. But whenever it’s gotten extremely high – say above 80 – silver outperformed gold, sometimes dramatically.

Kootenay to Commence Drilling at Columba Silver Project, Mexico

Kootenay President and CEO, James McDonald stated: "We are excited to test the vein system to confirm the historically reported grades and widths. The first 12 holes of the drill program will be designed to test the F vein where underground development work extended to 200 meter depth and the historic mining occurred."

A Pretty Ugly COT Report in Gold. Silver..

Also in silver, 26 non-U.S. banks are net short 36,928 COMEX contracts in the July BPR...which is up a decent amount from the 27,599 contracts that 21 non-U.S. banks were short in the June BPR. I would suspect that Canada's Scotiabank [and maybe one other, the BIS perhaps] holds a goodly chunk of the short position of these non-U.S. banks. I believe that a number of the remaining 24 non-U.S. banks may actually net long the COMEX futures market in silver. But even if they aren't, the remaining short positions divided up between these other 24 non-U.S. banks are immaterial - and have always been so. As of July's Bank Participation Report, 30 banks [both U.S. and foreign] are net short 36.5 percent of the entire open interest in the COMEX futures market in silver-which is up a monstrous amount from the 16.3 percent that they were net short in the June BPR - with much, much more than the lion's share of that held by Citigroup, HSBC USA, JPMorgan, Scotiabank -- and certainly one other non-U.S. bank.

Very Long-Term Silver

Just for fun because I am a chart guy who all too often bores you (and me) to death with ratio and indicator charts and all too seldom makes charts just for the fun of it anymore… So this long-term silver chart is just for the fun of it. What do we have here?

This Needs To Happen Before Silver Really Takes Off

What is significant about this peak-level in the Gold/Silver ratio is the fact that it is so close, and follows the 2016 bottom in interest rates. These confirm that some very serious credit woes are coming. It is likely on a scale not seen over the last 100 years. We can expect a rush for real monetary assets as never seen before. This will put silver again at the forefront of money and monetary solutions.

Gold & Silver Miners: The Hot Action Is Now

- Please click here now. Double-click to enlarge this daily silver chart. Like Rodney Dangerfield, silver doesn’t get much respect, but that’s because inflation has yet to really surge. - Having said that, the silver chart is beginning to look quite bullish. A breakout from an inverse H&S bottom pattern has occurred, and the pullback was flag-like. - The target of both the flag and the H&S pattern is the $16.50 area highs of February.

Silver's Promising Surge

Buyers surpassed a 15.840 target I'd flagged earlier in the week with such ease that a test of a more daunting obstacle at 16.470 seems all but inevitable. That's where September Silver double-topped earlier in 2019. If the rally should exceed these peaks as easily as did the 15.840 pivot today, that would greatly strengthen the case that a powerful new bull market has begun. More immediately, look for a short-term finishing stroke to 16.190, the Hidden Pivot target of the pattern shown in the chart.

Silver rallies to its highest in over a year, plays ‘catch up’ to gold’s gains

"He said gold and silver investors have not missed much of this rally, though in the short term the rally may be overextended when it comes to some miners. Over the coming months and year, however, Spina believes he sees “one of the best risk/reward [opportunities] in the gold/silver sector since I started buying juniors as a teenager, some 25-[plus] years ago.”

Silver Seems To Shock The Market

Well, as I think about it, I am starting to understand the shock if you had been reading what everyone has been writing about silver. Whereas the rest of the complex has already moved strongly higher, silver has been significantly lagging. And, I have been hearing one excuse after another as to why it is lagging, such as silver “has been acting as an industrial metal.”. But, last I looked, the economy was humming along. So, why would an industrial metal be lagging? Moreover, it certainly did not act like an industrial metal on Tuesday.

Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on Its Horse

While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd. The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners (+/-) each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.