COT Silver Report - April 28, 2017
In yesterday’s alert we wrote that the reversal in the precious metals market should once again not be taken at its face value and that one should not overreact based on it as the size of the potential rally was limited. Well, it turned out that “limited rally” was an euphemism for a decline. Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again despite the previous day’s reversal and gold stocks confirmed the breakdown below the key support line. The implications are strongly bearish. However, there’s something ever more bearish and much more profound.
Gold and silver were sold down in the futures market this week, after the first round of the French presidential election last Sunday. We are led to believe the hedge funds were bullish of precious metals because Marine Le Pen had a good chance of becoming president in the second round.
New regulations in 2018 have spooked bullion banks and silver fix operators
Lack of liquidity in silver fix auction has lead to high volatility in the market
Silver benchmark has strayed from spot price multiple times since 2016
No new silver benchmark operator lined up to take over in the Autumn
No smoke without fire as actions point to silver price manipulation
Silver remains suppressed and at a low price for investors stocking up
London's silver price benchmark is plagued by big, unpredictable fluctuations that risk undermining its credibility and may complicate efforts by the London Bullion Market Association to find a new operator, according to a Reuters analysis of trading data and 10 industry sources. The benchmark is used by silver producers and consumers around the world, including jewelers and electronics firms, to price their contracts in the multi-billion-dollar a day trade.
Yesterday was a tough one, no doubt about it. Not that many of us didn’t suspect it was coming, given how much ammunition the Cartel has used to first, prevent Precious Metals from breaching their 200-week moving averages; and subsequently, their 5½ year downtrend lines. That said, despite the past two weeks’ unfathomably blatant paper attacks – such as, last week’s back-to-back $3 billion COMEX gold future “sales” gold is still well above its 200-week moving average of $1,246/by a comfortable margin. True, it was (temporarily) repelled from its 5½ year downtrend line at roughly $1,285/oz. – but at $1,264 as I write, it’s just a single 1.5% jump away.
Don’t kid yourself. “Paper PM investments” will be under attack for as long as financial markets function – and thus, even when physical gold and silver inevitably win their war with the purveyors of fraudulent fiat currency and “financial markets”, there’s no guarantee that anything other than the real thing will benefit.
Over the past few weeks a number of new silver coins have come online and I wanted to bring them to your attention. If you recall at the end of 2016 I wrote several articles about the more “collectible” silver coins that are available to anyone that is willing to take a chance on some really beautiful coins. The one coin that stands out from the earlier series is the America the Beautiful “Hawaii Volcanos” coin. It now commands a massive premium to spot and people are more than willing to pay it. What will be the next coin to find itself in this same position?
If the entire world only produces 880,000,000 ounces of silver per year...and if 75% of that silver is consumed through the production of cell phones, solar panels and other items...then how do The Banks manage price off of the remaining 220,000,000 ounces? The answer: Alchemy.
It’s early Monday, and let’s start by clearing our heads of the ramifications of yesterday’s first round of the French Presidential election process – in which, as expected, 39-year Emmanuel Macron, a former Rothschild Bank investment banker whose only political experience was miserably failing as “Economy Minister” under outgoing President Francois Hollande (whose approval rating was so low – principally because the French economy has collapsed – he didn’t run for re-election); running under a new Independent political party, just established in September; came in first place, a mere 2.5 percentage points ahead of Marine Le Pen.