Gold Today –New York closed at $1,183.80 down from $1,196 in London at a level Asia held it at. The Fix saw the gold price set at $1,186.50 down $7.50 and in the euro, at €976.543 down €1.745 while the euro was 0.55 of a cent weaker at $1.2150. Ahead of New York’s opening gold was trading in London at $1,188.00 and in the euro at €976.85.
Silver Today – The silver price was at $15.77 down 41 cents. Ahead of New York’s opening it was trading at $15.93.
Gold (very short-term) The gold price will consolidate, in New York, today.
Silver (very short-term) The silver price will consolidate, in New York today.
Yesterday saw New York dominate the gold price, again in thin holiday trading, as we wait for the New Year to come in. The price was pulled down quickly to $1,180 as traders acted on the Technicals. There were barely any sales or purchases from or to the gold ETFs. The holdings of the SPDR gold ETF are at 712.302 and at 161.73 tonnes in the Gold Trust.
The euro has resumed its fall and is now tackling the lower $1.21 area and looking weak. With 10-yr Treasuries offering 2.2% and leading nations in the Eurozone offering substantially less than 1%, yield seeking money is flowing stateside. The U.S. balance of payments is looking good supporting a stronger dollar. The only factor against a stronger dollar is that the Treasury does not want to see it. Can the U.S. resist pressure from outside?
We also expect the Chinese monetary authorities to weaken the Yuan if the dollar strengthens more. At 6.22 Yuan to the dollar it is off its high by 2%. They too do not want a stronger Yuan!
As we end 2014 the U.S. market mood is that equities will go higher, bonds will remain on low yields and gold is out of their picture. Outside of the U.S. where the vast bulk of gold demand exists, gold is in persistent strong demand, the U.S. influence over the gold price is at a long-term low level and expectations of huge volatility in all global financial markets are widespread.
Silver– The silver price remains very volatile while following the gold price’s direction all the way. For the silver price to lessen its volatility, it needs to see the gold price give a clear direction. We see this happening somewhere north of $1,200 an ounce. At that point, we expect to see more professional investors come in and less two-way trading in silver. www.SilverForecaster.com
Julian D.W. Phillips for the Gold & Silver Forecasters
Global Gold Price (1 ounce)