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Silver Market Updates

Gold and Silver Explode Higher! Is it Finally Time to Buy?

June 20, 2014

As bullish as I am on precious metals going forward, it is important to realize that manipulation is still occurring and there are banks with access to nearly unlimited funds and extreme leverage via futures markets that can slam the price down at will. They are finally being exposed and even fined for the manipulation, putting an end the cries of “conspiracy theory.” But I am not convinced that they are out of the market quite yet.

June Lows Often Mark the Beginning of a Long Rally in Gold and Silver.

This chart courtesy www.seasonalcharts.com shows the historical trend of the price of gold, based on 30 years of data. Once the doldrums of June and July are out of the way, price usually rises until January-February. The challenge is to catch the June lows.

GDXJ Signals that MAJOR BREAKOUT and STRONG PM SECTOR ADVANCE IMMINENT...

Most investors or would-be investors in Precious Metals stocks are so soured by the seemingly interminable bearmarket in the sector, that has gone on for 3 years now and been made even worse by its having unfolded against the background of a rising stockmarket, that they won’t see the major opportunity now being presented, even when it’s as plain as the nose on your face, which it is. This is a bit sad really, because huge profits look set to be reaped by those buying the sector now.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed at $1,274.00 up $2.80 on Wednesday in New York. In Asia and London prices rose to $1,281. The Fix was set at $1,282.00 up $13.00 and in the euro at €940.227 up €4.522, while the euro stood stronger at $1.3635. Ahead of the opening in New York the gold price was trading at $1,282.20 and in the euro at €940.75.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed at $1,271.20 down $0.50 on Tuesday in New York. In Asia and London saw the price fall to $1,269 at the opening in London. The Fix was set at $1,269.00 up $4.50 and in the euro at €935.705 up €3.5271, while the euro stood stronger at $1.3565. Ahead of the opening in New York the gold price was trading at $1,271.00 and in the euro at €936.83.

COMEX Managed Money Record Silver Shorts More Like Insurance than a One Way Bet

Trend following hedge funds have built up a record high number of short contracts in silver futures, but evidence we study shows that it is more likely a form of “insurance” than a simple one-way bet. For part of the evidence consider that the number of long contracts, or bets that silver will advance in price, have varied only marginally since the beginning of the year. In fact, since January 7 the number of long contracts held by Managed Money traders has been confined in a range of only…

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed at $1,271.70 down $5.20 on Monday in New York. In Asia and London saw the price fall to $1,264 at the opening in London. The Fix was set at $1,264.50 down $17.25 and in the euro at €932.178 down €15.161, while the euro stood stronger at $1.3565. Ahead of the opening in New York the gold price was trading at $1,266.80 and in the euro at €933.63.

Silver Market Morning

The gold price closed at $1,276.90 on Friday up $3.10 in New York. In Asia and London the price rose another $5 ahead of the Fix, where it was set at $1,281 .75 up $8.75 and in the euro at €947.339 up €9.171, while the euro stood weaker at $1.3529. Ahead of the opening in New York the gold price was trading at $1,280.30 and in the euro at €946.28.

Silver is 7 for 7. Are We Seeing #8?

Since 2008 the RSI of the ratio has made 7 important lows below 30 that were also matched with a decent bottom in the silver price.There was also a quickly reversed bottom in the RSI in May of 2013 but silver prices were still falling and showed no sign of a bottom until early July.

Bottoming out?

Where this leaves precious metals is yet to be seen, but it is worth bearing in mind that hedge and other funds exposed to losses in bonds and equities will likely reduce their short positions in gold and silver. And if the current weakness in bonds and equities persists, it should be positive for precious metal prices as the bears run for cover.

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