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Silver Commentaries

Emerging Technologies to Drive Silver Demand

The price of silver soared in May, jumping more than 19 percent on safe haven demand as well as increased expectations of a swift economic recovery, given its many industrial applications. Not only was this silver’s best month since 2011, but it also marked an impressive turnaround for the white metal that just recently plunged to a more-than 10-year low. From March 18 through June 1 of this year, silver soared more than 52 percent, erasing all of its losses due to the coronavirus pandemic.    …

The Return of Precious Metals Leasing

June 04, 2020

Of course, I am sending this article to JPMorgan, as well as to the key officials at the CFTC and CME Group, but I also intend to make this article public so as to openly go on the record. I am torn about accepting payment from private subscribers while turning around and making public what you paid for, but I do feel it is in everyone’s best interest to let all of this see the light of day. Besides, I rarely make public more than one of the 8 or 9 articles I publish each month.

Falling Into Place

June 01, 2020

One wants to be careful about seeing things as previously predicted, but not so careful so as to not recognize when things seem to be playing out exactly as expected. Recent news stories and events seem to be in accord with a number of my central themes, but I’ll present the case as I see it and let you decide.

Silver Miners’ Q1’20 Fundamentals

The silver miners’ stocks have surged higher since mid-March’s COVID-19 stock panic, clocking in some big and fast gains.  Nevertheless, this long-struggling sector remains vexing.  By mid-May as their latest earnings season was wrapping up, the silver stocks were lagging the gold stocks’ powerful upleg.  And the silver miners’ Q1’20 operational and financial results were disappointing compared to the gold miners’.

Why Silver Stocks Should Be on Investors' Radar

May 22, 2020

We are now entering the final part of the endgame of the latest fiat experiment and the actions of the Fed and other Central Banks virtually guarantee that most currencies, including and especially the dollar, will end up totally worthless, just like in the Weimar Republic in Germany in 1923.

What Matters Most in Gold and Silver

May 18, 2020

Having focused intently on the running open losses of the 8 big shorts (ex-JPM) for the past year, the latest price surge would seem to put the 8 big shorts in particular serious jeopardy. Simply put, the open losses ($7.8 billion, as of Friday, May 15) have never been larger, while the prospects for the big shorts buying back all or most of their short position at anywhere near breakeven have never been lower.

The US Dollar or Silver: Place Your Bet

May 12, 2020

Over the last 50 years there have virtually been no significant Silver rallies during a period when the US Dollar index has been rising. If you are betting on a massive Silver rally while US dollar strength continues, then you have a very low probability of success. Similarly, if you bet on a massive Silver rally while the US dollar continues a long decline, then you have a great chance of success.

Silver’s Epic Mean Reversion

Silver is powering higher in a new bull market after getting clobbered in March’s stock panic. Investors have been flocking back to silver in the aftermath of that ultra-rare extreme-fear event. That brutal selloff also utterly wiped out speculators’ upside bets in silver futures, giving them massive room to buy back in. After being pummeled to record-low levels relative to gold, an epic silver mean reversion higher is underway.

Why Is Silver Stagnant, and When Will it Start Moving?

April 27, 2020

It hasn’t been fun for silver investors. Gold has moved higher in response to the crisis, but silver has been nothing but weak and vulnerable this year. Is this silver’s destiny? Is this all that we can expect for the foreseeable future? No. History says a big change in the silver price is coming. We’ll look at that, but first let’s examine why, at this point in the crisis, it’s been so lifeless…

Gold and Silver Relative Valuation

April 23, 2020

Particularly at times like these, when we’re experiencing things few would have imagined, it’s important to reach out for that which gives long term perspective and grounding. These days, it’s easy to get wrapped up in the short term and lose track of the long term. It’s no different for gold and silver. And I freely admit this is one of those “do as I say, not as I do” things, as it’s hard for me not to focus on the here and now in matters related to gold and silver.

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