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Silver Commentaries

What Matters Most in Gold and Silver

May 18, 2020

Having focused intently on the running open losses of the 8 big shorts (ex-JPM) for the past year, the latest price surge would seem to put the 8 big shorts in particular serious jeopardy. Simply put, the open losses ($7.8 billion, as of Friday, May 15) have never been larger, while the prospects for the big shorts buying back all or most of their short position at anywhere near breakeven have never been lower.

The US Dollar or Silver: Place Your Bet

May 12, 2020

Over the last 50 years there have virtually been no significant Silver rallies during a period when the US Dollar index has been rising. If you are betting on a massive Silver rally while US dollar strength continues, then you have a very low probability of success. Similarly, if you bet on a massive Silver rally while the US dollar continues a long decline, then you have a great chance of success.

Silver’s Epic Mean Reversion

Silver is powering higher in a new bull market after getting clobbered in March’s stock panic. Investors have been flocking back to silver in the aftermath of that ultra-rare extreme-fear event. That brutal selloff also utterly wiped out speculators’ upside bets in silver futures, giving them massive room to buy back in. After being pummeled to record-low levels relative to gold, an epic silver mean reversion higher is underway.

Why Is Silver Stagnant, and When Will it Start Moving?

April 27, 2020

It hasn’t been fun for silver investors. Gold has moved higher in response to the crisis, but silver has been nothing but weak and vulnerable this year. Is this silver’s destiny? Is this all that we can expect for the foreseeable future? No. History says a big change in the silver price is coming. We’ll look at that, but first let’s examine why, at this point in the crisis, it’s been so lifeless…

Gold and Silver Relative Valuation

April 23, 2020

Particularly at times like these, when we’re experiencing things few would have imagined, it’s important to reach out for that which gives long term perspective and grounding. These days, it’s easy to get wrapped up in the short term and lose track of the long term. It’s no different for gold and silver. And I freely admit this is one of those “do as I say, not as I do” things, as it’s hard for me not to focus on the here and now in matters related to gold and silver.

Common Sense and the CME Group

April 21, 2020

Monday’s spectacular and unprecedented collapse of oil prices is, rightly so, the subject of non-stop commentary. Already considered depressed on Friday’s close, at $18.27/bbl., the May NYMEX crude oil futures contract, at Monday’s official settlement price, had fallen to negative $37.63, down $55.90.

Is the Extreme High in the Gold/Silver Ratio Setting Up For an Extreme Reversal?

April 20, 2020

There are a few times in an investor’s life where, as Jim Rogers once put it, you see a pile of money sitting in a corner and you can go pick it up. In other words, an investment opportunity that’s not just obvious, but has a high reward-to-risk ratio.

COT Silver Report - April 17, 2020

COT Silver Report - April 17, 2020

Big Silver Bull Running!

Silver is blasting higher after mid-March’s stock-panic-spawned near-crash. This normal oversold mean reversion looks like the start of something much bigger though. Speculators’ positioning in silver futures utterly collapsed, leaving massive room for them to buy back in. And silver investment buying since the recent lows has been strong and relentless. All this argues that a big new silver bull market is starting to run!

Silver Seeker Report: This Week in Mining Issue #8 – Mandated Suspensions of Mining Operations Taper Off and Some Early Q1 Production Numbers

April 12, 2020

It’s looking the suspension of mining activities have tapered off for the time being, though the mining industry has already been severely impacted. Approximately 500 mining companies have announced the suspension of at least one mining operation. There could be a shift toward countries declaring mining an essential business. This recently happened in Argentina and could very well be the case in other countries which rely heavily on mining for tax revenue. There are some places (countries,…

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