Global mining supply is at the largest downtrend in World History. A few days ago, Mexico, the World's largest producer with hundreds of mining districts, BANNED OPEN PIT MINING. Open pit mining is how you mine Silver, so Mexico banned it altogether by banning open pit mining.
World Demand is at all-time highs. The push to NetZero emissions by 2030, 2040, and 2050 (milestones) has emerging renewable energy sources, including solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicles. This total electrification uses enormous amounts of Silver.
The militaries throughout the World are escalating. Here is an example of Silver used in the military. There are over 150 nuclear subs in the World. Using conservative numbers, each nuclear submarine has 100 pounds of Silver because the batteries need to power the sub for hours, days, and years. Moreover, the batteries get changed frequently. Doing the math 150 x 100 = 15,000 pounds. There are 16 ounces in a pound, so that's 240,000 ounces of Silver. Militaries also use Silver for bombs, shells, missiles, and night vision goggles. Silver is the best conductor of electricity and is corrosion-resistant.
Corrosion is a problem in severe conditions such as war, oceans, and outer space.
According to the Silver Institute's World Silver Survey, the silver market has been in an alarming deficit for the past two years. In 2021, the deficit was 196.3 million ounces; in 2022, it was 237.7 million ounces. This is the most significant deficit on record, and it is due to a combination of factors, including:
Strong demand: Demand for Silver has been strong in recent years, driven by several factors, including the growth of the solar industry, the use of Silver in electronics, and the investment demand for silver coins and bars.
Limited supply: As mentioned above, Mexico's ban on open pit mining plus overall mine production of Silver has drastically declined in recent years. There have been some delays and disruptions at some mines. This has limited the supply of Silver available to the market.
Declining recycling: Recycling of Silver has also been declining in recent years, as the price of Silver has been relatively low. Extracting Silver from electronics, mobile phones, and solar panels is labor-intensive. The time and energy expended trying to recover the Silver embedded in electronics are more expensive than the reward, which is the nominal $23 spot price of Silver per ounce. This has further reduced the supply of Silver available to the market.
The silver deficit is expected to continue in 2023, as demand is still strong and supply is still limited.
There is a plan to double the price of Silver in the next 18 months, and it is called Drain The Mint or #DrainTheMint
video by SilverDegenClub with narrative assistance by The Pickaxe
VIDEO 2 - a 4 minute explanation from Mike of RTD.NEWS (Rethinking the Dollar)
Video 3 - World Silver Authority Andy Schectman appears with two animated and anonymous citizens.
Below is Andy Schectman with two cartoon characters (citizens who want to remain anonymous since the research indicates a revolutionary plan to drain the US government of their favorite strategic metal that was never intended to be an instrument of war. )
Silver in nature is on the chart of periodic elements for thousands of years and was not intended to be used for death and destruction. For example, a golf club or baseball club can be used for entertainment and competition, but a sociopath can also kill a seal or murder someone.
Conclusion
So how does Silver go from today's price of $23 an ounce to $45?
Here is how it will go down.
Step 1 - We are poised on a worldwide depression not seen since 1929. Historically, the Dow Jones to gold ratio is 10-1 or 11-1.
Step 2 - The Dow Jones will dip to 29,500. Why the dip to 29,500 Dow Jones? Global Depression due to systemic risk, debt, and the US losing control of the US dollar being diluted or falling to Russia, India, and China + the rise of emerging markets (Africa, Latin America, Middle East, Arab States)
Globalization: has led to a decline in manufacturing jobs in the United States as companies have moved production to countries with lower labor costs. This has been particularly evident in the apparel and electronics industries. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of manufacturing jobs in the United States has declined by about 20% since 2000.
War: The war in Ukraine has also negatively impacted manufacturing, as it has disrupted supply chains and caused commodity prices to rise.
In addition to globalization and war, other factors that have contributed to the decline in US manufacturing output include:
Technological change: Automation and robotics have led to increased manufacturing productivity, reducing the need for workers.
The decline in US manufacturing output has had many negative consequences, including:
Job losses: The decline in manufacturing jobs has led to job losses in the manufacturing sector and other industries supporting manufacturing.
Trade deficits: The United States has a trade deficit in manufactured goods, meaning the country imports more manufactured goods than it exports.
Economic growth: The decline in manufacturing output has slowed economic growth in the United States.
Step 3 - This puts gold at $2,950 per ounce, and today gold is $1,932 per ounce. Given the panic caused by a world financial collapse, this move upward in gold is a very conservative projection.
Almost every geopolitical expert understands that when significant world power shifts occur (such as Portugal falling to Spain, Spain falling to the Dutch guilder, the Dutch guilder falling to the British Pound, and the British Pound falling to US Dollar); these transition times drastically increase warfare. Also, during these transitions, gold steps up to do the accounting as the existing reserve currency is devalued.
This also happened when Rome collapsed if those other scenarios are insufficient case studies.
Step 4 - The gold-to-silver ratio returns to the historical mean of either 65, 60, 55, or 50 to 1.
Just take the worst-case scenario of 65 to 1 (how many ounces of Silver equals one ounce of gold) ….and here is the final answer.
$2,950 (ounce of gold) divided by 65 (ounces of Silver to equal one ounce of gold), arriving at our $45 per ounce Silver projection.
Jon Forrest Little graduated from the University of New Mexico (Political Science). He attended Georgetown University's Institute for Comparative Political and Economic Systems. Jon and economic anthropologist David Graeber have drawn distinctive inferences about the first minted coins used by Athens during the Peloponnesian Wars.
Jon Forrest Little is the publisher of ThePickaxe and founder of the Silver Star Academy, a research project for Silver’s industrial and monetary applications. Please sign up for FREE. It’s all educational and full of initiatives to fight fiat tyranny.
