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Silver Market Updates

Silver on the verge of a break out

April 20, 2018

Silver prices are trading almost 25% below the values predicted by our price model. This is the largest downside deviation we have seen in over 25 years. We believe this is the result of massive short selling in the futures market. In order to maintain this downward pressure on silver, speculators would have to continue to sell over 500 million ounces of paper silver per year. A reversal of this positioning could lead a >30% rally in silver prices in our view.

Is This The Long-Awaited Silver Short Squeeze, The Beginning Of The Next Bull Market, Or Both? Or, Sigh, Neither?

April 18, 2018

Longer term, this is the kind of attention-getting action that puts an asset back on the radar screens of non-true-believers. As hard as it is for us gold-bugs to imagine, the vast majority of people aren’t watching precious metals and have no idea why silver matters. They do, however, notice when the price of something jumps. So if this short squeeze has legs and generates some headlines, it could pull in enough momentum chasing money to create a positive feedback loop in which rising prices…

Silver Bullion Remains Good Value On Positive Supply And Demand Factors

April 18, 2018

– Industrial demand set to continue to climb from 2017, into 2018 and beyond – Speculators are bearish on silver as net short positions in silver futures reach record – Investment demand sees silver ETF holdings at eight-month high of 665.4 million ozs – 2017 saw fifth consecutive annual physical deficit in scrap silver, of 26 moz – Global silver mine production fell 4% last year, 2nd consecutive year of decline – Fundamentals and speculative positions suggest silver may soon see strong…

Market Report: Break-Out Hopes Dashed

April 13, 2018

After inching better on Monday and Tuesday, gold and silver finally made a break for it on Wednesday in good volume on Comex, with gold peaking at $1365 intraday, and silver at $16.87. Those of us watching gold’s established trading range, and silver’s extreme oversold position thought this could be the start of a major breakout to the upside. Those hopes were dashed on Thursday, when both metals retreated, giving up most of their gains on the week.

The 4 Biggest Signs For Silver - Mike Maloney Insider's Preview

April 10, 2018

There are some unprecedented events occurring in the precious metals markets right now - find out about the four biggest signs for silver in this delayed preview of Mike Maloney's Insiders Report (made available to customers on April 3, 2018).

Is The Silver COT Bullish?

April 09, 2018

There’s been an abundance of commentary on the net long position of the “Swap Dealers” in Comex silver futures per the COT report. As of the latest COT report, the Swap Dealers are net long almost 22k silver contracts. This is unprecedented. At the same time, the “Large Speculators,” the majority of which is comprised of the “managed money” (hedge funds) sub-component, are net short nearly 17k silver contracts. The data my business partner tracks goes back to April 2004. In that period of…

Silver May Be Getting Ready to Shine Again

April 09, 2018

The bullion banks (Commercials) are almost certainly now betting for higher silver prices and have relinquished their concentrated short position. Meanwhile, the large speculators are positioned increasingly short. The good news for silver bulls is the bullion banks dominate the futures markets, by hook or by crook, and they generally win versus the speculators.

The Beautiful Chartology of SLV

April 08, 2018

SLV along with the PM stocks have been under performing gold in a pretty significant way. Normally you would like to see the PM stocks outperforming gold on the front end of a bull market similar to what we saw back in the beginning of the 2000 bull market in the PM complex. So far that hasn’t been the case.

Discussing Comex Silver

April 06, 2018

With the open interest in Comex silver blowing out to a new alltime high yesterday, we thought it best to discuss again what this indicates and what it doesn't. As of yesterday's Comex close, the total open interest in Comex silver is at an alltime high of 241,135 contracts. This blows away the previous alltime high seen on April 20 of last year at 234,787 contracts. Let's first hit the basics...

Silver Finally Starts To Catch Up With Gold

April 05, 2018

Based on the gold/silver ratio one would expect silver to do better than gold even if both are rising. And based on the COT report, gold should fall while silver rises. Today the metals finally started to behave this way, with silver rising and gold falling.

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