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Silver Market Updates

March Comex Silver "Deliveries"

March 29, 2017

Given my past experience in dealing with the CFTC, in no way do I expect any aggressive action from this neutered and fully-controlled agency. Instead, I just thought it would be fun to see if I heard anything back from them at all. Will I even get a response? I can tell you that, so far, I haven't even received one of those "thank you for writing us, we'll look into it" emails so it's not looking good. However, if I do eventually hear from them, I'll be sure to write follow-up to this post.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 28 2017 - Gold holding high ground and likely to rise!

March 28, 2017

For gold, before London opened on Monday Shanghai had already reacted through the western night. It was at $1,257 when we first looked during Shanghai’s day on Monday and is currently holding that level now. If it holds above $1,250 it will have broken through overhead resistance, which will become support, which appears to be happening now.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 24 2017 - Gold facing a critical day!

March 24, 2017

The Healthcare Bill is not just about healthcare or about Donald Trump but about the ability of the Republican majority to turn what has been political gridlock for the last two terms into decisive government. If the bill fails to pass today, it implies that despite the hype about President Trump’s ‘get things done’ ability, the government remains in political gridlock, with the majority disunited. That implies a lower dollar, lower equities [where the rise since his election accounts for 14%…

Silver Market Morning: Mar 23 2017 - Gold making new gains!

March 23, 2017

You will note how Shanghai prices have been steady after jumping with London and New York’s ‘discounts’ narrowing a great deal. We attribute this to arbitrageurs or western dealers making sure their prices are not out of line. Why do we stress this? It shows the lessening impact of western news items and COMEX actions. It ensures that gold prices are more currency related. We believe it is already reducing the volatility in global gold markets.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 22 2017 - Gold holding new gains!

March 22, 2017

The gold price in Shanghai jumped 2.50 Yuan today, but the rise was greater when translated into the weak dollar. As you can see, London and New York are trying to catch up with Shanghai as the price differentials narrow. That’s why the concept of a ‘Chinese gold price premium’ distorts the reality of what’s happening. China is no longer a distant sub-market of London, while India continues to be so, as that country with its gold taxes and political interference cannot function nearly as well…

Silver Market Morning: Mar 21 2017 - Gold still consolidating at higher levels!

March 21, 2017

Turning back to the G-20 statement we note that the G-20 maintained its call for competitive devaluations and FX market instability to be avoided. While it goes against brazen devaluations for the sake of gaining competitive advantage, protectionism will alter trade balances, which will affect exchange rates. Behind such international plays, nations do attempt to keep their exchange rates low and lower. So while brazen currency wars are to be avoided, they will continue indirectly.

Silver 1/70th The Price of Gold – Silver Eagles Sales Jump

March 21, 2017

– Silver just 1/70th the price of gold – Silver at $17.50 per ounce set to rise “faster than gold” – Silver Eagles (1 oz) buying jumps to 715,000 this week – “Supply may drop following mine closures” – Standard Chartered – Industrial demand “will remain strong” – CPM Group – Silver is substantially undervalued versus gold – Gold silver ratio to fall back below 30

Silver Market Morning: Mar 20 2017 - Gold consolidating at higher levels!

March 20, 2017

The price differential between the three centers is widening again as China once again is leading the way on gold prices. But you will note that Chinese gold prices have barely changed in the last two days leading to the conclusion that Shanghai is making the gold price but exchange rate changes are changing prices in other currencies. The dollar continues to weaken taking gold prices higher there.

Market Report: Turning the corner

March 17, 2017

Silver is getting left behind as our introductory chart shows, with it up only 8.7% this year so far, while gold is up 6.5%. Normally, silver moves on average slightly less than twice that of gold, suggesting the right price for silver should be about $17.80. Silver’s slight loss in performance is shown in the gold/silver ratio, which is our next chart.

Silver Market Morning: Mar 17 2017 - Gold jumping after the Fed!

March 17, 2017

At the close in Shanghai today, the gold price was trading at 275.90 Yuan, which directly translates into $1,242.46. But allowing for the difference of gold being traded this equates to a price of $1,237.46. This more than $11.16 higher than the New York close and $10.46 higher than London. As you can see the price differentials between the three centers has been narrowing considerably. With today being a day when the gold markets are taking a breather after the rise we expect the differentials…

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