Silver Market Morning: April 11 2017 - Gold firm below resistance $!

Gold Today –New York closed at $1,254.30 yesterday after closing at $1,254.60 Friday. London opened at $1,256.30 today.

Overall the dollar was stronger against global currencies early today. Before London’s opening:

  - The $: € was stronger at $1.0608 after Friday’s $1.0638: €1.

- The Dollar index was stronger at 100.90 after Friday’s 100.71.

- The Yen was almost unchanged at 110.66 after Friday’s 110.65:$1.

- The Yuan was weaker at 6.9012 after Friday’s 6.8992: $1.

- The Pound Sterling was weaker at $1.2416 after Friday’s $1.2465: £1.

Yuan Gold Fix

Please note that the Shanghai Fixes are for 1 gm of gold. From the Middle East eastward metric measurements are used against 0.9999 quality gold. [Please note that the 0.5% difference in price can be accounted for by the higher quality of Shanghai’s gold on which their gold price is based over London’s ‘good delivery’ standard of 0.995.]

The Shanghai Gold Exchange was trading at 281.60 towards the close today.

This translates into $1,269.16. New York is trading at a $14.86 discount to Shanghai and London opened at a $12.86 discount to Shanghai.

LBMA price setting: The LBMA gold price was set today at $1,255.70 from Friday’s $1,264.30.

The gold price in the euro was set at €1,183.28 after yesterday’s €1,189.37.

Ahead of the opening of New York the gold price was trading at $1,257.30 and in the euro at €1,184.79. At the same time, the silver price was trading at $17.92.

Silver Today –Silver closed at $17.94 yesterday after $17.99 at New York’s close Friday.

Gold _{(very short-term)} The gold price should consolidate, in New York today.

Silver _{(very short-term)} The silver price should consolidate, in New York today.

Price Drivers

The dollar price of gold is rising on the back of a weak dollar and is slightly weaker against a stronger euro. It has yet to gather the strength to break through $1,260 resistance. But the dollar has strengthened, as you can see above, against the euro, leaving the gold price below the 200-day average still.

The Syria strike by the U.S. has not heightened tensions between Russia and the U.S. as much as the markets first discounted. It appears that Russia is satisfied with chest beating without action, simply a warning that the U.S. will be met by force next time. If there is another gas attack soon the situation could deteriorate substantially. Meanwhile, the markets, as we thought they would have retreated to where they were before the missile strike.

The Fed through Mrs. Yellen reaffirmed their stance that interest rates should be raised gradually in order to allow the economy to coast along and remain on an even keel, in order to prevent overheating.

They think a gradual path of increases in short-term interest rates will get them to where we need to be, but we don’t want to wait too long to have that happen. We want to be ahead of the curve and not behind it. Yellen added that the U.S. economy is currently in a “pretty healthy” state and is expected to grow at a moderate pace. Appropriate stance of policy now is something close to neutral noting that the Fed’s assessment of neutral is really not that high. She expected growth to average 2% throughout the economic recovery.

For gold, this is positive as it takes from the robust attitude to the economy that markets factored in after the election of President Trump.

Gold ETFs – Friday saw sales of 0.278 of a tonne from the SPDR gold ETF but a purchase of 1.776 tonnes yesterday. The Gold Trust has seen a gain in its holdings since Friday of o.36 of a tonne. Their SPDR holdings are now at 838.263 tonnes and at 200. 62 tonnes.

Since January 4^th 2016, 237.889 tonnes of gold have been added to the SPDR gold ETF and to the Gold Trust. Since January 6^th 2017 27.833 tonnes have been added to the SPDR gold ETF and the Gold Trust.

Regards,

Julian D.W. Phillips

GoldForecaster.com | SilverForecaster.com | StockBridge Management Alliance To ensure you can benefit from the future higher gold prices we will see then, you need to hold it in a manner that makes sure it can’t be taken from you. Contact us at admin@stockbridgemgmt.com to buy physical gold in a way that we feel, removes the threat of it being confiscated. We’re the only storage company that offers that!

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