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Silver Commentaries

On The Job Training

August 23, 2019

Tuesday’s announcement by the Justice Department of a guilty plea by a long term former trader from JPMorgan for spoofing COMEX precious metal futures was the second such guilty plea since October. Both traders are cooperating in the DOJ’s ongoing investigation. While it took way too long for the Justice Department and the CFTC to finally crack down on spoofing, I suppose it’s a case of better late than never. And there can be little doubt that the regulators have cracked down on the…

The Outlook For COMEX Silver Improves

August 21, 2019

Over the past few weeks, I've often stated in public interviews that an expansion of the Gold:Silver Ratio to 100 would not surprise me—meaning that COMEX gold could go to $1700 while COMEX silver remains near $17—before a "substitution effect" finally forces The Banks to retreat and silver moves higher. While this may still be the case, a couple of changes over the past few weeks have led me to consider a different, short-term outlook for COMEX Digital Silver. Let's start with that…

Silver Market: Indicators Setting Up For A Big Move

August 20, 2019

If we look at certain indicators in the silver market, the price is setting up for a big move. It seems as if mainstream investors are now becoming more worried about the stock and bond markets. With almost $17 trillion in negative-yielding debt in the world, the notion that gold or silver doesn’t earn a yield is starting to look like a better deal than paying someone to own bonds.

COT Silver Report - August 16, 2019

COT Silver Report - August 16, 2019.

COT Silver Report - August 8, 2019

COT Silver Report - August 8, 2019.

Silver Setting Up 70s Style Rally In The Midst Of Financial Collapse?

August 07, 2019

We are currently at an important point of the economic cycle. The end or peak of debt-based assets, and the significant appreciation of real assets like gold and silver. An example of the last time we were in a similar position is the late 70s. The Dow was at or near peak levels after a multi-decade bull market, while gold and silver was in the midst (or end) of a consolidation (or correction).

COT Silver Report - August 2, 2019

COT Silver Report - August 2, 2019.

Position Limits

August 01, 2019

The one thing the new chairman should recognize is that the big commercial shorts in COMEX silver futures have never collectively bought back shorts to the upside and at a loss. Never is a very long time, but COT data confirm this clearly. The big shorts have never taken a loss on their short position. I would submit that such a trading record would only be possible in a rigged market. This one glaring fact, by itself, explains why there has been a decades-long silver price manipulation. The…

Arcadia’s Monthly Silver Report – August 2019 (including Fed meeting preview)

August 01, 2019

While the factors suggesting increased prices in the medium to long term continue to grow, the current COT positioning indicates an elevated probability of a near term selloff. Silver is still trading below the cost of production for most miners. While the leverage in the market remains high, amidst rumors of a “big whale” accumulating silver. Yet the banks are significantly short both gold and silver now, and over the past decade, that’s been a pretty consistent indicator that a selloff is…

SILVER PRICE 2019: Is This The Year For A New Bull Market?

July 30, 2019

After waiting for seven years since the silver price traded above $30, precious metals investors are wondering if 2019 will be the year that shiny metal finally enters into a new bull market. However, for silver to enter into a new bull market, certain signs and indicators need to take place. I discuss this in detail in my latest video. Interestingly we have seen several precious metals analysts suggest that something quite interesting is taking place in the silver market. For example,…

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